WngO #1 for TS Bertha
All Bermuda Regt FTS Staff
G3/304/ T/S BERTHA
Time Zone Used Throughout the Order: LOCAL
A. Government of Bermuda EMO Order.
B. Bermuda Weather Service – T/S BERTHA Advisory.
C. Bermuda Regiment Disaster Management Plan 2014 / 2015 v6.1.
a. General Outline. Tropical Storm Bertha is a Potential Threat to Bermuda with closest point of approach to within 72 hrs (3 days) is forecast to be 298 nm to the W, 5 1200 Aug 2014 as a Force Storm 9. All personnel are on 24hrs NTM wef 3 1200 Aug 14.
b. Current Weather Service Prediction. Updates of Reference A should be accessed at http://www.weather.bm/tropical.asp or www.nhc.noaa.gov. All personnel are advised to maintain regular update of the weather situation. BWS States:
“Tropical Storm Bertha is now just south of Puerto Rico as of the most recent advisory #7 (12 noontoday) from the National Hurricane Center. The latest details are available at: http://www.weather.bm/tropical.asp
The track forecast is now looking more certain in the longer range, with Bertha taking a path well to the west/northwest of Bermuda next Tuesday into Wednesday (timings remain similar to yesterday). Approximate distance of the centre of the storm from Bermuda at closest passage late Tuesday evening is currently over 250 nautical miles.
Due to TS Bertha coming within 400 nautical miles in the next 72 hours, we are now under 'Potential Threat' status. However, no Tropical Storm Watches/Warnings for Bermuda are valid or expected at this present time.
Impacts for Bermuda remain relatively minimal as per the latest Public and Marine forecasts
Public forecast - http://www.weather.bm/forecastpublicextended.asp
Marine forecast - http://www.weather.bm/forecastmarineextended.asp
We are likely to see building southwest swells on Tuesday, continuing to build and veer into the northwest on Wednesday. This will need to be monitored, and I will update you if I think the swells are significant enough to reach Kimberley Zuill's 'Blue Threshold' for the attention of the Department of Parks. Winds are also forecast to increase moderate to strong Tuesday into Wednesday, with possible gusts to tropical storm force, but NOT sustained tropical storm force. The National Hurricane Center suggest a probability of less than 20% (low) for sustained tropical storm force winds to affect Bermuda.
Finally, there continues to be the possibility of Tropical Storm Bertha degenerating into a tropical wave over the Dominican Republic. However, it is worth bearing in mind that the system could regenerate into a tropical storm once again as it comes into a more favourable environment to the north - similar to Gabrielle last year.”
2. LIKELY MISSION. If required, the Bermuda Regiment mission is to assist the EMO as directed in Hurricane recovery efforts in order to restore normality.
a. GENERAL OUTLINE. Generate sufficient military capability by early embodiment of troops in the form of Immediate Response Teams (IRTs), Reassurance Patrols, Command and Control elements and Reconnaissance capability to facilitate immediate post storm recovery, and subsequent main embodiment if required.
b. SCHEME OF MANOEUVRE. Before the storm strikes Bermuda a pre-embodiment of Sp Coy, QM Coy, Trg Wing, and all the FTS will be likely, with possible pre-deployment of plant from Parks and W&E. These elements will conduct full embodiment preparation, complete preparatory moves and preparatory deployments. Post storm strike preparations for a full embodiment will continue should the need arise.
c. MAIN EFFORT. Clearance of at least one lane of South road from Warwick Camp (WC) east to Paget lights junction and from WC west to Barnes Corner by IRTs, with potential to move east to KEMH and west to Port Royal BFRS if resources allow. Regiment should remain flexible for change of ME to other tasks as directed by EMO.
d. TASK ORGANISATION. The following is the initial task organisation for pre-strike and IRT OCs (OCA, 2iC A, OC C, QM, OC Spt) are to confirm #s to Adjt by 2 2000 Aug 14:
(1) Immediate Reaction Teams. IRT x 5 as follows:
(a) Team HQ
(f) A/C Company (general manpower)
(2) Locations. 5 x IRTs to deploy as follows:
(a) 1 x St George’s (Clearwater Fire Station).
(b) 2 x Warwick Camp (East and West teams).
(c) 2 x Warwick Camp (1 x Reserve Team and 1 x Team dedicated to assistance for families of deployed Regiment personnel).
e. IMMEDIATE ACTIONS. Now in effect, the current actions are implemented:
(1) All personnel at 24hrs NTM.
(3) Cascade and Call-out lists final confirmation by RHQ / Coys.
(4) Sgt Hayward JJ, to update website message.
(5) Overseas Leave will not be granted.
4. Conclusion. Current weather predictions see T/S BERTHA remaining as a potential threat until it moves past Bermuda at approx. 7 Aug 14.